Aristotle's Approach to Startups

How an ancient practice keeps entrepreneurs from deluding themselves and their investors 

Thousands gathered this week in San Francisco at the Lean Startup Conference to hear industry luminaries share their expertise on how to launch successful startups. Conference hosts blogged about how innovative “Lean Startup” methods can reduce risk by rejecting the traditional path of extensive business planning and huge upfront investments. Instead, today’s top entrepreneurs formulate and test hypotheses, adjusting their new offerings quickly and cost-effectively with fast development cycles. 

That’s right, the heart of today’s hottest management trend is a 2,500-year-old idea that you first learned in grade school. It’s the scientific method, one of Aristotle’s lasting contributions to humankind. He promoted the radical idea that new knowledge can be gained from empirical study of the natural world. Throughout the ages, Ibn al-Haytham, Roger Bacon, Descartes, and many others went on to perfect the concept. (1) Eventually, a 19th Century scientist and philosopher named William Whewell defined the five-step method commonly used today: formulation of a question, a hypothesis, a prediction, experimentation, and analysis of data to confirm or reject the hypothesis. (2) 

Lean Startup is the scientific method 

Today’s Lean Startup approach employs the scientific method to answer essential questions about new products, business models, and early market demand. Rather than generating lengthy market research reports, entrepreneurs list their hypotheses on a one-page “business model canvas.” Then, applying agile development techniques, founders work closely with customers to quickly test hypotheses and refine product features, pricing, marketing, and delivery. Following this path helps entrepreneurs prove that their products, key business processes, and economics all work on a small scale before they seek funding for rapid expansion.  

This approach is not just for startups. Big companies General Electric, Toyota, and Comcast all use Lean start-up practices to develop new products and services with small teams, (3) an intrepreneurial practice that helps them avoid the bureaucracy inherent in large organizations. Many leading firms run ongoing, low-cost experiments, and then learn all they can from them, only committing massive money and resources when and if the business ideas demonstrate traction. Jim Collins, author of Good to Great and Great by Choice, calls this “firing bullets, then cannonballs.” He says following this critical discipline can help companies outperform financial benchmarks by a factor of ten or more over the long term. (4) 

Angel investors and venture capitalists can also benefit from Lean Startup methods. It’s estimated that as many as 90% of new high-tech ventures fail, (5) meaning investors typically waste billions every year on ideas that go nowhere. The new approach limits risk for investors because it helps them methodically validate ideas using someone else’s (the founders’) boot-strapped funds. Financiers then avoid investing in ideas that arise from hopes and dreams alone, and substitute them with scientifically proven models based soundly on “dollars in and dollars out.” 

Pass the pie in the sky

Perhaps the scientific method’s greatest contribution to startups is helping entrepreneurs overcome their own human shortcomings. All people suffer a cornucopia of flawed thinking—Wikipedia lists no less than 92 decision-making, belief, and behavioral biases.

Unfortunately, entrepreneurs tend to be in a class by themselves when it comes to bias. Being an entrepreneur often involves a steadfast belief in an idea that will be bigger than Google, regardless of what anyone else thinks. While that level of confidence is admirable, even infectious, it’s almost always self-deluding. Whether applied in the physical sciences or in business, the scientific method helps minimize bias and errant conclusions through repeated experiments, rigorous peer reviews, and credible evidence. In the end, objective reality always trumps subjective belief. 

After a history of bad decisions and so much money wasted on dead ends, entrepreneurial approaches are changing. Increasingly, investor’s say “Prove it” when entrepreneurs claim to have the Next Big Thing. Thanks to the scientific method, the Lean Startup approach can do exactly that.

Excel-lens is a publication of Service Excellence Partners. Our unique approach helps founders at early stage companies better scale operations and manage growth. Contact us today.

Sources:

1. De Lacy O'Leary (1949), How Greek Science Passed to the Arabs, London: Routledge & Kegan Paul Ltd., ISBN 0-7100-1903-3
2. History of Inductive Science (1837), and in Philosophy of Inductive Science (1840) 
3. Lean Start-up Conference program, http://leanstartup.co/full-program 
4. Jim Collins and Morten T. Hansen (2011), Great by Choice: Uncertainty, Chaos and Luck—Why Some Thrive Despite Them All, USA: HarperCollins Publishers, ISBN 978-0-06-212099-1
5. Max Marmer, Bjoern Lasse Herrmann, Ertan Dogrultan, Ron Berman. Start-Up Genome Report Extra. s.l. : Stanford University, 2012.

Discipline, More Than Creativity, Fuels Growth

Most entrepreneurs shun formality, but structure at the right time enables faster growth.

Zappos is known for its creative workplace

Inside most start-ups, free-wheeling innovation and agility abound. The fewer the rules, the better. And why not? Unencumbered by bureaucracy, entrepreneurs can let their imaginations run wild, create breakthrough products, and make tons of money.  Most entrepreneurs scoff at rigorous planning, analysis, or financial modeling found at larger companies—it just slows them down.

Thought leader, entrepreneur, and consulting associate professor at Stanford University Steve Blank agrees, saying today’s “lean start-ups” require less formality. (1) Rather than spending months on research and business planning, entrepreneurs list their educated guesses about the business opportunity and then validate them with prospective customers. Instead of old-fashioned project management that delivers a finished end product, engineers in start-ups practice “agile” development, constructing products incrementally through frequent iterations and customer feedback. Lean start-up approaches favor less structure, smaller teams, and highly creative environments.

But early traction does not guarantee long-term success. Once a new product shows potential, it must be property marketed, delivered, and supported at scale. The company must generate positive cash flow to be sustainable, and eventually pay a return to investors. These activities are very different than those taking place during the early creative process.

Stanford’s Start-Up Genome Project offered entrepreneurs a roadmap for successful company development. (2) After studying thousands of new ventures, researchers identified four distinct “Marmer Stages,” each with its own challenges and milestones:

The Discovery and Validation stages match the creative process described by Steve Blank: quick development and refinement of ideas, leading to early sales. But things change during the Efficiency and Scale stages. After verifying market acceptance of their initial product, founders must hone their business models, customer acquisition processes, and delivery processes. They must get funding, hire staff, and build infrastructure to support fast growth. Instead of spending “right brain” time imagining and creating, entrepreneurs must now spend “left brain” time analyzing and structuring.

Eventually all companies must evolve their management systems if they want to continue growing. (3) Informal management styles that worked well in the beginning break down as the company expands out of the entrepreneurs’ personal span of control. (4) Founders soon realize they can no longer do everything themselves; they must delegate tasks and coordinate the work of multiple groups. At this point, disciplines they implement serve to make organizational goals explicit and stable. Effective management systems facilitate goal alignment, resource allocation, accountability, learning, and control.

Surprisingly, it's not creativity that rockets a start-up to success. Instead, research shows that greater discipline accelerates early-stage growth. Studies at Stanford and the University of California Berkeley concluded that deploying management systems associated positively with successful, high-growth start-ups. (5) Studying seventy-eight firms over a five-year period, they showed new ventures that implemented management systems grew at three times the rate of those that didn’t:

“Think about a car: the faster it goes, the more sophisticated the technology required to keep it under control. At the very elite racing levels, Formula 1 teams have highly complex and extensive systems infrastructure both on and off the tack. The same logic applies to growth with start-ups. The faster they need to go, the more management systems infrastructure they need.”

But timing is crucial. The Start-Up Genome Project found one of the most frequent causes of early business collapse was “premature scaling,” that is, ramping up before sales traction supported it. (2) Examples included hiring too many specialists, managers, and salespeople too quickly, and spending too much on marketing before validating the product-market fit. Just as entrepreneurs must adopt new disciplines to scale the business, they must also be disciplined about when to do it.

It seems counter-intuitive, but discipline, not creativity, is what ultimately drives growth. Creating and validating ideas is essential in the beginning, but a shift to effective and efficient execution at the right time becomes paramount. Entrepreneurs must understand this critical transition and adjust accordingly if they want the wild success that compelled them in the first place.


Excel-lens is a publication of Service Excellence Partners. Our unique approach helps founders at early stage companies better scale operations and manage growth. Contact us today.

Sources:

1. Blank, Steve. Why the Lean Start-Up Changes Everything. Harvard Business Review. May 2013, pp. 65-72.

2. Max Marmer, Bjoern Lasse Herrmann, Ertan Dogrultan, Ron Berman. Start-Up Genome Report Extra. s.l. : Stanford University, 2012.

3. The Five Stages of Small Business Growth. Neil C. Churchill, Virginia L. Lewis. May-June, 1983, Harvard Business Review, pp. 1-11.

4. Edward Lowe Foundation. The Significance of Second Stage. Cassopolis, Michigan : Edward Lowe Foundation, 2012.

5. Antonio Davila, George Foster, and Ning Jia. Building Sustainable High-Growth Startup Companies: Management Systems as an Accelerator. California Management Review. May 2010, pp. 79-105.